
Am J Psychiatry 157:1399-1405, September 2000
© 2000 American Psychiatric Association
Olfactory Deficits in Patients With Mild Cognitive Impairment Predict Alzheimers Disease at Follow-Up
D.P. Devanand, M.D.,
Kristin S. Michaels-Marston, M.A.,
Xinhua Liu, Ph.D.,
Gregory H. Pelton, M.D.,
Margarita Padilla, M.A.,
Karen Marder, M.D.,
Karen Bell, M.D.,
Yaakov Stern, Ph.D., and
Richard Mayeux, M.D., M.Sc.
OBJECTIVE: This study evaluated the predictive utility of olfactory identification deficits in patients with mild cognitive impairment for follow-up diagnosis of probable Alzheimers disease. METHOD: Ninety outpatients with mild cognitive impairment were examined at 6-month intervals. Matched healthy comparison subjects (N=45) were examined annually. The University of Pennsylvania Smell Identification Test was given at baseline. RESULTS: Olfaction scores were lower in patients with mild cognitive impairment than in healthy comparison subjects. Seventy-seven patients were followed up; 19 were diagnosed with Alzheimers disease by 2 years. Patients with low olfaction scores ( 34 of 40), and patients with low olfaction scores who reported no subjective problems smelling, were more likely to develop Alzheimers disease than other patients. In a Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for age, sex, modified Mini-Mental State score, and education, low olfaction scores did not predict time until development of Alzheimers disease, but low olfaction scores accompanied by lack of awareness of olfactory deficits predicted time to development of Alzheimers disease. This effect remained when attention or memory measures replaced modified Mini-Mental State score in the model. In patients with high Mini-Mental State scores ( 27 of 30), low olfaction with lack of awareness remained a significant predictor of Alzheimers disease. Olfaction scores of 3035 showed moderate to strong sensitivity and specificity for diagnosis of Alzheimers disease at follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with mild cognitive impairment, olfactory identification deficits, particularly with lack of awareness of olfactory deficits, may have clinical utility as an early diagnostic marker for Alzheimers disease.
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