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Am J Psychiatry 1995; 152:1757-1764
Copyright © 1995 by American Psychiatric Association
Predictors of cognitive change in middle-aged and older adults with memory loss
GW Small, A La Rue, S Komo, A Kaplan and MA Mandelkern
Department of Psychiatry and Biobehavioral Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles, School of Medicine, USA.
OBJECTIVE: Previous longitudinal studies of age-related memory loss have
focused on objective neuropsychological measures that predict subsequent
cognitive change, yet brain metabolic function, self- perception of memory
loss, and other measures may also be sensitive indicators of cognitive
change. To determine such baseline predictors of change, the authors made
longitudinal assessments of middle-aged and older adults with memory loss.
METHOD: Forty-two persons (mean age = 60 years, range = 43-81) with memory
complaints received comprehensive baseline assessments, including
subjective neuropsychological measures, objective measures of
visual-spatial memory (the Benton Visual Retention Test) and verbal memory
(the Buschke-Fuld Selective Reminding Test), and positron emission
tomography scans to determine neocortical glucose metabolism. At an average
follow-up of 3 years, the objective neuropsychological measures were again
used to quantify the degree of cognitive change. RESULTS: Multiple
regression analyses indicated that parietal asymmetry, sex of the subject,
and baseline visual-spatial memory score were significant predictors of
change in visual-spatial memory; level of education and baseline verbal
memory score predicted change in verbal memory. Other neocortical asymmetry
scores, age, family history of Alzheimer's disease, cerebral atrophy, and
self- ratings of use of mnemonics were not significant predictors of
change. CONCLUSIONS: Measures of cerebral metabolism, objective memory
performance, sex, and education may predict subsequent cognitive change in
middle-aged and older persons with memory loss. Also, the parietal
asymmetry found in persons with questionable dementia that progresses to
probable Alzheimer's disease may be present very early in the course of
age-related cognitive decline.
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