OBJECTIVE: The short-term diagnostic stability of schizophrenic and
other psychotic disorders was examined in first-admission patients, with
attention to the principal reasons for diagnostic change. METHOD:
Hospitalized first-admission patients (N = 278) participating in an
epidemiologic study were interviewed at baseline and after 6 months with
the Structured Clinical Interview for DSM-III-R. A best estimate diagnosis
was made at both time points with the use of all available sources of
information. Reasons for changes in diagnosis were determined by two
psychiatrists. RESULTS: Affective psychosis and schizophrenic disorders
were relatively stable broad diagnostic categories over the 6-month period,
with 86.5%-88.9% of the patients remaining in the same category, although
findings for specific diagnoses within these categories ranged from 61.5%
to 85.7%. The groups with unknown and nonspecific diagnoses showed less
stability; the diagnoses of more than one-third of these patients remained
unknown or nonspecific at the 6-month evaluation. If the 6-month diagnoses
are used as the research standard, somewhat lower percentages of patients
received the same diagnoses at baseline. Forty-three percent of the changes
in diagnosis were attributed to the clinical course of illness; the rest
were attributed to the diagnostic process itself. CONCLUSIONS: A
longitudinal diagnostic assessment based on multiple sources of information
is crucial for categorizing first-admission psychotic patients,
particularly those who do not initially fit into a DSM-III-R category. The
short-term stability of a diagnosis is a function of multiple factors,
including the changing clinical picture, additional sources of information,
and new interpretations of original data.
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