Disability awards due to mental illness are on the rise. Between 1987 and 2005, the share of Supplemental Security Income’s adult caseload disabled owing to a mental disorder rose from 24.1% to 35.9%. Since the 1984 Disability Benefits Reform Act, the number of Social Security Disability Insurance awards due to mental illness has also increased substantially: in 1978, awards for mental illness were less than 2% of new awards; in 2005 (1), people with mental illness represented almost 30% of all beneficiaries.
Income support programs can create a disincentive to work, called moral hazard, which presents a challenge to setting eligibility criteria (2). Some analysts contend that rising disability awards for mental illness reflect a “broken” system that provides benefits to those who should not receive them (3); others point out that income support makes it easier for persons with mental illness to live in the community (4). These conflicting conclusions reflect an ongoing debate over whether increasing awards for mental illness represent a policy success because they reach needy individuals or failure because the increased awards reflect moral hazard (5). In this article, we review evidence on the issue of moral hazard and demonstrate that it is insufficient to conclude whether rising awards for mental illness represent a policy success or failure.
U.S. policy toward the 26.2% of persons who meet diagnostic criteria for a mental or substance use disorder in a year (6) has shifted toward inclusion in mainstream society. Improved treatment of mental illness makes it possible for individuals to participate in society, including the labor force. Nevertheless, diagnosis of a severe and persistent mental illness is often associated with downward economic mobility. For example, the estimated reduction in annual earnings related to mental disorders ranges from 9.5% to 25% for males and from 12% to 29% for females (for a review, see Frank and Koss ).
Given the functional limitations associated with these disorders, affected individuals frequently apply for public income support. The Social Security Disability Insurance and the Supplemental Security Income programs provide monthly cash payments and medical benefits for individuals who meet the program requirements for mental illness. In addition, an increasing share of adult recipients of the cash welfare program, Temporary Assistance for Needy Families, have mental health problems, in part because welfare exits for recipients without mental health problems have been more extensive since the 1996 welfare reform (8).
Supplemental Security Income is for low-income individuals who are over 65 years of age, blind, or disabled owing to a disorder that prevents them from engaging in “substantial” work for at least 12 months or until death. To establish disability, there is a multistage screening process, requiring judgment calls about impairment and functioning. A minority of applicants are approved for disability benefits (9). In 2007, the monthly benefit for a single disabled person with no other income was $623.
The Social Security Disability Insurance program is a traditional social insurance program that replaces a portion of earnings when disability prevents “substantial gainful activity,” defined in 2007 as monthly earnings over $900. Only individuals who have contributed sufficiently to this program by means of payroll taxes can qualify for benefits. Given the early onset and inconsistent work history that accompany serious mental illness, few with mental illness qualify for full benefits. Social Security Disability Insurance and Supplemental Security Income have the same criteria for a disability and the same disability determination process. In 2006, the average monthly benefit was $978.
Changes in the late 1970s tightened eligibility criteria and made continuing disability reviews under both systems more rigorous. This policy was halted in 1984 following the removal of large numbers of recipients with mental disorders (one-quarter of whom lost benefits owing to these reviews), based on claims that the disability criteria had become too restrictive (4, 10). The criteria were restructured in the late 1980s to better address conditions such as mental disorders and chronic pain.
Many individuals with symptoms of mental disorders use Temporary Assistance for Needy Families. Historically, policymakers and researchers assumed that welfare recipients were “able and expected to work” and that disability programs would serve those unable to work. As a result, the 1996 welfare reform that instituted new work requirements did not anticipate an emerging policy problem—that caseloads include impaired welfare recipients who have difficulty working steadily. Because their impairments often do not meet Supplemental Security Income’s disability criteria, many find themselves without either work or cash assistance.
An ongoing difficulty with determining impairment for those with mental disorders is that mental disorders are heterogeneous. Some individuals may meet diagnostic criteria for a severe disorder without having significant impairments in functioning (4, 11), and other individuals with “mild” diagnoses suffer functional limitations that impede their ability to work. Impairments can be temporary or persistent and can improve and recur. Supplemental Security Income, Social Security Disability Insurance, and Temporary Assistance to Needy Families were not designed with this heterogeneity in mind. In addition, because no simple test can fully assess illness, impairment, and disability, the nature of mental disorders complicates eligibility determination.
Income support programs protect people against health and injury risks that threaten the ability to work and earn a living. To reduce moral hazard, these programs have stringent eligibility requirements, time-limited benefits, and relatively low benefit levels. To qualify for benefits, individuals must show that they are unable to undertake substantial gainful activity. However, recent changes in program rules that are intended to encourage work ignore characteristics of mentally ill participants. As a result, some who are mentally disabled and only partially able to work may lose benefits and find themselves with inadequate earnings if they do work.
The work requirements of Temporary Assistance for Needy Families also do not recognize the unique needs of recipients with mental illness. The 2006 reauthorization of the program increased the hours of work required, effectively increased the share of recipients expected to work in each state, and ended states’ ability to count mental health treatment activity toward work requirements.
As the share of recipients with mental disorders has increased, program eligibility rules and the disability determination process have been questioned. Because determining disability owing to mental disorders requires professional judgment rather than formulaic assessments, the potential for false-negative and false-positive eligibility errors increases.
Federal programs attempt to minimize moral hazard, or false-positive errors. Applicants must supply ample documentation of disability. Only one-third of initial applications are accepted; even after appeals, most applicants are not awarded benefits (12). The continuing disability review process, even after the 1984 liberalization, terminates benefits for 8% to 12% of Supplemental Security Income and Social Security Disability Insurance beneficiaries each year (13).
Rejected Applicants in the Labor Force
Several studies document that 20% to 40% of rejected applicants for Social Security Disability Insurance later work (14–16). This has been interpreted by Autor and Duggan (17) as clear evidence of moral hazard. We conclude, in contrast, that an equally compelling statistic is the 60% to 80% of rejected applicants who do not subsequently work. Of course, some of these individuals may choose not to work while they appeal their disability eligibility, and others may fail to work owing to low skill level rather than a health-related disability. However, existing evidence is no more likely to show that moral hazard exists than it is to document that most rejected applicants needed them.
Some analysts contend that increased disability awards based on mental illness are an indicator of moral hazard or a problem with the disability determination process. Specifically, Stapleton and colleagues (18) analyzed Supplemental Security Income caseload growth during the 1990s. They found that demographic and labor market factors could explain most of the rise in applications for most medical conditions but that far fewer of the increased applications based on mental disorders. They conclude that the Supplemental Security Income criteria for mental disorders had been expanded.
We do not accept this conclusion because the authors compare the 1990s growth in applications with application rates during the 1980s, when the Reagan administration disproportionately terminated people with mental illnesses from the rolls. A reduction in applications at that time could be expected independent of other factors, so it is not an appropriate baseline for comparison.
Application Rates and Unemployment
Some analysts suggest that the relationship between applications and unemployment rates indicates that many workers seek public benefits not because they have a disabling mental illness, but because they have been laid off (3). An increase in applications does not equal a rise in awards.
Social Security Disability Insurance
Social Security Disability Insurance awards have increased owing to both mental illnesses and musculoskeletal disorders (3, 18). A 2003 study found that Disability Insurance applications increased more with employment crises in the 1990s than in the mid-1980s (17). In concluding that abuse of Social Security Disability Insurance has “reached unsustainable levels so that the Social Security Disability Insurance screening process is broken,” Autor and Duggan (17) invoke the cyclicality of Social Security Disability Insurance applications, the fall in application rejection rates, and the rise in awards for disabilities with low mortality rates, such as mental impairment and musculoskeletal disorders. Although Social Security Disability Insurance applications moved with unemployment rates over the 1990s, the award rate for applications is countercyclical over the entire 1970–2006 period Figure 1). In other words, stringent eligibility criteria closely mirrored the cyclicality in award rates.
In addition, the trends in Social Security Disability Insurance awards per population (versus application) do not show any clear relationship to the unemployment rate, especially after the 1970s. This is true for both mental and nonmental disorders, which drift upward slowly after the mid-1980s Figure 2). On the basis of these trends, we find no evidence for the contention that moral hazard is somehow more serious for disability awards related to mental illness.
Supplemental Security Income
The recent relationship between Supplemental Security Income award rates for adults with mental disorders and the unemployment rate is not consistent with a moral hazard explanation that posits that disability awards for mental illness are countercyclical, as they are for unemployment insurance. From 1992 to 2006, unemployment fluctuated widely, falling from 7% to 4% before rising and falling dramatically again. However, Figure 3 shows no consistent trend in Supplemental Security Income award rates for mental disorders in relation to rates of unemployment. Awards for nonmental disorders follow a similar trend.
Fate of Rejected Applicants
The challenge of determining disability owing to mental illness means that some truly needy applicants are denied benefits. If this is the case, rejected applicants will have worse outcomes than those determined to be disabled. We gain some insight into the extent of moral hazard versus false negatives using data from about 500 women surveyed by the Women’s Employment Study (19). We contrast the housing stability, work activity, and welfare experiences of Women’s Employment Study respondents who applied for and received Supplemental Security Income benefits to women who applied for but did not receive these benefits (data not shown).
In 1997, 36% of respondents met the diagnostic screening criteria for major depression, posttraumatic stress disorder, or generalized anxiety disorder. We did not have the statistical power to analyze the 36% of the sample with identified mental illness, but among the 12% of the overall Women’s Employment Study sample who received disability benefits at any time between 1997 and 2003, 30% had been evicted or had experienced homelessness at some point during the study, similar to the 28% of those who had never applied for or received benefits. By contrast, among the 26% of respondents whose Supplemental Security Income applications were not approved by the 2003 interview, 43% experienced housing instability, suggesting that they were in need of benefits. The rejected applicants were only half as likely to be working in 2003 as those who never applied for disability—43% versus 79%. They also worked much less over the 6-year period—in 26% of the 72 months versus 63%. These data are inconsistent with the basic moral hazard hypothesis.
Why are disability awards for mental disorders increasing, if not moral hazard or loosening of eligibility criteria? The current focus on moral hazard is misplaced if, for example, the mental disorder caseload reflects shifting labor markets from manufacturing toward services, where jobs may require different emotional and mental skills.
Our analyses of the unemployment, application, and award rates cast doubt on prior claims that public income support programs are being used as a form of unemployment insurance. Our evidence does not permit definitive conclusions either supporting or refuting the role of moral hazard as a determinant of recent caseload increases for mental disorders, but it does highlight the need for additional information on the role of moral hazard in these programs.
People with mental illnesses disproportionately rely on public income support programs. It remains unsettled whether eligibility policies appropriately match people and programs, and whether program policies can be redesigned to help those with mental illness engage in work when possible. Given the increasing share of mentally ill people among Supplemental Security Income, Social Security Disability Insurance, and Temporary Assistance to Needy Families recipients, it is important to understand how these programs might be modified to better serve those with mental disorders.