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The American Journal of Psychiatry, VOL. 128, No. 7

Articles | January 01, 1972

Clinicians' Predictions of Outcome of Psychotherapy: A Trial of a Prognostic Index

ARTHUR H. AUERBACH; LESTER LUBORSKY; MARILYN JOHNSON

Am J Psychiatry 1972;128:830-835.

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Assistant Professor of Psychiatry, Department of Psychiatry, School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pa. 19104

Professor of Psychology in Psychiatry, Department of Psychiatry, School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pa. 19104

Research Assistant, Department of Psychiatry, School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pa. 19104

1972, American Psychiatric Association

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Abstract

The authors describe the Prognostic Index, a clinical form for rating patients on 31 variables believed to be significant in predicting outcome of psychotherapy. Forty-seven patients were rated on this instrument at the beginning of therapy. Factor analysis of the Prognostic Index revealed the five main dimensions that its 31 variables represent. The outcome of therapy was significantly predicted by the patients' scores on three fators: General Emotional Health, Intellectual Achievement, and Acute Depression.

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