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Prediction of Unauthorized Absence
HAROLD ALTMAN; HUGH V. ANGLE; MARJORIE L. BROWN; IVAN W. SLETTEN
Am J Psychiatry 1972;128:1460-1463.
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Clinical Assistant Professor, Department of Psychiatry, University of Missouri School of Medicine, Missouri Institute of Psychiatry, 5400 Arsenal St., St. Louis, Mo. 63139
Research Associate, Department of Psychiatry, University of Missouri School of Medicine, Missouri Institute of Psychiatry, 5400 Arsenal St., St. Louis, Mo. 63139
Assistant Professor, Department of Psychiatry, University of Missouri School of Medicine, Missouri Institute of Psychiatry, 5400 Arsenal St., St. Louis, Mo. 63139
Professor, Department of Psychiatry, University of Missouri School of Medicine, Missouri Institute of Psychiatry, 5400 Arsenal St., St. Louis, Mo. 63139
1972, American Psychiatric Association
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Abstract
A multivariate equation for predicting elopement (unauthorized absence from the hospital) was derived from 3,383 psychiatric inpatients and cross-validated with another sample, using mental status, diagnostic, and demographic data. The rate for correctly predicting elopement was 72 percent, yielding a high-risk group with a one-in-ten chance of eloping and a low-risk group with a one-in-40 chance. The authors present correlation coefficients of individual predictors of elopement and discuss these in terms of their theoretical implications.Abstract Teaser
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